Showing posts with label Baltic Dry Index. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Baltic Dry Index. Show all posts

Friday, December 16, 2011

Saxo lists its 'outrageous' forecasts for 2012 .



Every year, Saxo Bank takes a look into its crystal ball, a slightly clouded one perhaps, and comes up with a list of 10 outrageous predictions for the following year.
This one is no exception. And some of its outrageous predictions have indeed come true in the past.
Although the Danish online investment bank does admit these events are unlikely to take place, it feels they are still far more likely to happen than the market appreciates.
"Our Outrageous Predictions have been prepared in the spirit of encouraging investors to think outside the box and prepare for world-altering events," said Steen Jakobsen, chief economist at Saxo Bank. "Should some of the predictions come to pass, it would make 2012 a year of tremendous change."

1. Stock of Apple Inc (APPL) halves in value from the 2011 high as it struggles to maintain 55% market share given multiple competitors.

2. The bank suggests the EU Treaty changes are insufficient to prevent the debt crisis returning with a vengeance by mid-year--hardly unpredictable--but this prompts EU politicians to call an extended bank holiday, closing all exchanges and banks for a week, to cope with the hefty losses on the stock markets.